Contents

Economic Perception to Political Performance Evaluation: Establishing Precursors to Economic Voting in Africa

Rhee, Inbok

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Abstract

Empirical support for economic voting is well documented in advanced democracies. We know less, however, about the extent and dynamics of economic voting in the developing democracies of sub-Saharan Africa. The relationship between economic perceptions and incumbent performance evaluations is a critical precursor to vote choice. I evaluate this link using more than fifty-five thousand individual-level observations across sixteen sub-Saharan African countries. I find that there exists a strong association between economic perception and performance evaluation while controlling for a host of covariates, including ethnicity, partisanship, information, and public goods provision. Contrary to previous findings, however, I show that the influence of economic perception is stronger than many other factors considered in the models such as coethnicity with the incumbent. Moreover, my findings indicate that coethnicity-but not copartisanship-conditions the influence of economic perception on performance evaluation. I use an instrumental variables approach to further validate the findings.

Issue Date
2019-12
Publisher
SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
Keywords Plus
ELECTIONS; VOTE; PARTICIPATION; ETHNICITY; CLIENTELISM; INFORMATION; POPULARITY; BEHAVIOR; DEMOCRACIES; ELECTORATE
Keywords(Author)
economic voting; Africa; accountability; public opinion
Citation
POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY, 2019
DOI
10.1177/1065912919888017
Journal Title
POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY
ISSN
1065-9129
Language
English
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