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Relationship between trade deficit and economic growth

empirical analysis of Myanmar

AUNG, Wint Thu

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Abstract

Myanmar has suffered continuous long-term trade deficits. However, there have still been no definite conclusions regarding the relationship between trade deficits and economic growth. This paper therefore aims to examine whether trade deficits have a positive or negative effect on Myanmar’s economic growth through an empirical analysis of the years 1989 to 2015. This paper utilizes the Johansen co-integration test and the Vector Error Correction Model to respectively analyze the long-run and short-run relationship between trade deficits and economic growth in the case of Myanmar. The results show that in the long-run, there is a significant negative relationship between trade deficits and economic growth. However, in the short-run, there is an insignificant negative relationship between trade deficits and economic growth.

Advisors
Lee, Si Wook
Department
KDI School, Master of Public Policy
Issue Date
2017
Publisher
KDI School
Description
Thesis(Master) --KDI School:Master of Public Policy,2017
Keywords
Balance of trade--Burma.; Economic development--Burma.
Contents
Chapter 1: Introduction

Chapter 2: Literature Review

Chapter 3: Data Collection and Methodology

Chapter 4: Empirical Results

Chapter 5: Summary of the Findings, Policy Implications, and Conclusion
Pages
vii, 41 p.
URI
https://archives.kdischool.ac.kr/handle/11125/32149
Type
Thesis
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