Contents

An Analysis of the relationship between exports and economic growth

evidence from Myanmar (fy 1990-2015)

SANN, Thi Lwin

Abstract

This study analyzes the impacts of the exports on the economic growth for the period 1990-2015 by using annual data of GDP, Exports, Imports and FDI in Myanmar. The main objective of this study is to determine whether the exports have positive or negative effects on the economic growth. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model is mostly used to observe the relationship among exports and economic growth. This study used the ADF test to check the unit root of the time series and all variables are stationary at first differencing level (except FDI which is stationary in the level). The residual normality test, heteroskedacity and serial correlation tests are used to check diagnostic tests. This model also checked the stability by CUSUM test. The ARDL model describes a statistically significant long-run positive relationship between exports and gross domestic product in Myanmar. Moreover, this study finds that exports and FDI have positive effects on the economic growth while imports have positively insignificant in the long-run. As a policy implication, this study suggests that the government should focus on economic stability, new SMEs capabilities and openness policy within the country.

Advisors
Choi, Seul ki
Department
KDI School, Master of Public Policy
Issue Date
2017
Publisher
KDI School
Description
Thesis(Master) --KDI School:Master of Public Policy,2017
Keywords
Exports--Burma.; Economic development--Burma.; Investments, Foreign--Burma.
Contents
1. Introduction

2. Literature Review

3. Data and Methodological issues

4. Empirical Results

5. Summary, Conclusion and Recommendations
Pages
26 p.
URI
https://archives.kdischool.ac.kr/handle/11125/32145
Type
Thesis
Files in This Item:

Click the button and follow the links to connect to the full text. (KDI CL members only)

qrcode

Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.