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Impact of unconditional cash transfer on civil conflict

KENNETH, Onyango

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Abstract

The study aims to contribute to existing research on utilization of unconditional cash transfers (UCT) in improving the economic wellbeing of conflict prone disenfranchised communities. It analyzed the use of UCT in promoting business start-ups that enhances access to economic resources through employment creation and thus deters membership to insurgent groups. The analysis exploited data obtained from randomized control experiment conducted by the Hunger and Safety Net Program (HSNP) during the period 2009 to 2014. The HSNP delivered regular UCT to households in the conflict prone region of Northern Kenya. Data on conflict was obtained from an independent source maintained by Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED). The summary statistics from regression analysis shows that UCT had statistically significant impact in reducing incidences of conflict. In addition, the difference in difference analysis showed substantial reduction in annual average number of conflicts in the treatment sub-locations compared to incidences reported in the control locations. The cash transfer also caused substantial increase in self-employment as recipients opted to start businesses. The business start-ups created jobs thereby reducing attractiveness of joining insurgency groups or participating in conflict.

Advisors
Han, Baran
Department
KDI School, Master of Development Policy
Issue Date
2016
Publisher
KDI School
Description
Thesis(Master) --KDI School:Master of Development Policy,2016
Keywords
Transfer payments.; Conflict management.
Contents
1.0 INTRODUCTION

2.0 LITERATURE REVIEW

3.0 RESEARCH DESIGN

4.0 RESEARCH METHOD, DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

5.0 CONCLUSION

6.0 References
Pages
iii, 31 p.
URI
https://archives.kdischool.ac.kr/handle/11125/31946
Type
Thesis
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